Hi all! Just a short post to share the probabilistic forecast of European elections in France I just published on my website (sorry it’s all in French for now, but the graphs are universal ): https://www.pollsposition.com/indicateurs/forecast_europeennes2019
I did all that with python (the website is actually a Pyramid web app) and PyMC3, and I had a lot of fun doing it!
So I thought it could be of interest to some of you, and I wanted to say a huge thanks to all the PyMC devs, in particular @junpenglao, Austin Rochford and @aloctavodia, whose work / books were of great help
I owe you guys a drink when you come to Paris
Hope you’ll enjoy it, and don’t hesitate to drop me a line - feedback or contributions of course more than welcome